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Scientist, Foothill
prof and asteroid namesake Andrew Fraknoi speaks the truth about what's
out there
By Loren
Stein
YOU MAY KNOW local
treasure Andrew Fraknoi, chair of the astronomy department at Foothill
College, from radio or TV. He's graced such shows as KQED's Forum,
National Public Radio's Science Friday, Weekend All Things Considered,
The Today Show, CBS Morning News and Larry King Live.
This Harvard and
UC-Berkeley-educated professor and scientist has a rare talent for translating
complex astronomical ideas and discoveries into clear, compelling language
for the non-ivy-league-educated. His gift for popularizing astronomy has
been recognized with a bevy of awards, including the 2002 Carl Sagan Prize
and the 1994 Annenberg Foundation Prize (only the highest honor in the
field of astronomy education). He's also served on the board of several
prestigious astronomical societies, including as board trustee of Mountain
View's Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence Institute. But of all
his accolades, the most enviable is that the man's got an asteroid, number
4859, named after him.
On space violence:
"Asteroids and comets
hitting the Earth could have a real effect on humanity. For the longest
time, we thought that the way the planets, including the Earth, evolved
was very gradual, very slow, billions of years of continents moving and
great forces shaping these planets. Just recently it's become clear that
some of the changes on Earth and other planets are sudden and violent,
that when the universe formed, nobody cleaned up and a lot of garbage
got left over. And this leftover garbage in the form of chunks of rock
and chunks of ice--asteroids and comets--was hitting everything in the
beginning when there was a lot of it. In fact, we think some planets actually
tipped over from being hit too much: Uranus is orbiting on its side, [and]
Venus is orbiting backwards because we think something big hit it in the
early days.
"Even today, great
violence happens. A swarm of comets hit Jupiter a few years ago--we could
watch enormous explosions as this material vaporized in Jupiter's atmosphere.
The dinosaurs and half the living species on Earth died out 65 million
years ago because a large asteroid, 10 to 12 miles across, hit off the
coast of Mexico in Yucatan. The crater, called Chicxulub, is 100 to 120
miles across. The debris darkened the skies for months and made conditions
on Earth intolerable. And the heat started wildfires all over the American
continent.
"An asteroid hit
Siberia in 1908 that wiped out animals and vegetation for several miles.
So things are still hitting, and luckily nothing has hit populated areas
in recorded history. There's an ongoing international effort to catalog
all the large chunks that orbit near the Earth that might someday hit
us. There's actually a section of the Air Force that's now making plans
to try to deflect asteroids (you can't shoot them directly because you'd
only break it into many pieces that would still hit the Earth). This is
a very serious area. A crater half a mile across in downtown San Jose
could ruin your whole day, and there are many chunks out there that could
make a crater half a mile across. We really want to be more alert to this."
On alien planets:
"What's most exciting
to me is the discovery of planets around other stars. For all of human
history, the only planets we knew about were the planets around our sun,
of which the Earth is one. We speculated, we dreamed, we wrote science
fiction stories, we had superserious scientific theories that there must
be planets around other stars, but we had no proof at all. And in the
last eight or nine years, proof has come: as of last week, we now know
more than 100 planets around other stars.
"For the first time
in human history, we know of more stars outside our own solar system than
inside. And not just odd stars or weird planets, but a whole assortment
of stars and planets, many of the stars very much like the sun, in the
same state of their lives, with similar properties, with planets. Some
stars have more than one planet--that to me was really the Star Trek
moment.
"So this changes
in a very positive way what we know about the universe: planets are clearly
common just the way we all hoped they would be. And if there are planets,
then it's more likely that there are small planets like the Earth. And
if there are planets like the Earth, then the conditions that happen on
Earth may duplicate elsewhere, and we may even have Metro readers
on other worlds; creatures who are intelligent enough to pick up an alternative
newspaper and want to know more about the universe.
"There are wonderful
plans afoot to build even more sensitive and dedicated space telescopes,
all for the purpose of finding planets elsewhere--to find, as Carl Sagan
calls the Earth from space, other pale blue dots."
The question of
Martians:
"My hope is that
in the next century we'll find some signal that indicates that there is
intelligent life on another planet; we'll be able to eavesdrop on another
civilization. My personal hope is that I'll still be alive when this happens.
I'd like to be there when we make first contact. That would be the greatest
moment in the history of the human species, to find other intelligent
life, our cousins if you will.
"Nobody knows whether
intelligent life requires an Earth. All we have is one example, our own
example. So far humanity knows of only one origin to life, and that's
on Earth. It would be amazing if we could find what scientists are now
calling a second genesis, another place where life began.
"And there are some
hints that it may have happened on Mars--we know that early Mars had a
lot of flowing water and was much more warm and like the earlier Earth.
Or it may have happened under the protective ice of a moon around Jupiter
called Europa. If the origins of life are discovered in the next few years
on Mars or Europa, I think it would have big repercussions philosophically,
because some people still believe that life is a miracle, that it took
divine intervention, that it only happened once, that it only happened
on Earth. So to find that life actually began independent of the Earth
and never developed into praying human beings, that would be a big shock
to some people. I think that would be very exciting.
"NASA has a big
program, called the Astrobiology Program, to figure out if there actually
is a second genesis and bring evidence back of life on some other world.
The hope is bolstered by the observations that there are all these planets,
and that we're finding the building blocks of life everywhere--in Halley's
comet, in meteorites, in chunks of rock that fall to Earth--extraterrestrial
amino acids, which is unbelievable. We're finding some of the primitive
building blocks of life in clouds of gas and dust between the stars, not
even on the planets. If even under those hostile conditions the steps
to life can already begin, it makes us more optimistic that life can start
in more favorable environments like planets.
"So there's planets
out there, there's the building blocks of life out there. The elements
that we need for life on Earth are now clearly known to be present among
other stars. So, unless life is something truly unusual and difficult,
we're reasonably optimistic."
On human colonization:
"In the short run,
I'm pretty pessimistic. I think we're screwing up the world in so dramatic
a way and we are going to be so bedeviled by problems of our own creation--whether
it's political problems, resource-availability problems, issues of human
disagreement having to do with fixing the mistakes we made in stewarding
of the Earth--I think our energies will be very much distracted by needing
to take care of the planet and make peace among ourselves.
"So in the short run
I'm not at all optimistic that there'll be a major effort to move into space.
And in the long run, of course, we may destroy each other, and then that's
the end of that story. But if by some miracle, we survive, I think there
are many astronomical reasons to move out into space, plus human curiosity
and the desire to explore."
The Future, Conan?
More glimpses into
the future from Metro writers
Bring
on the Robots: Some experts predict that we're entering the Robotic
Age. Does that mean we don't have to pick out our own socks anymore? Not
quite. (Traci Vogel)
Full
Circle: When you graduate in 1984, the future is yesterday's news.
(Todd Inoue)
Kill
Your Computer: High-tech detectives can now find evidence you thought
you deleted. (Najeeb Hasan)
Implanted
for Life: Help! There's a chip in my body and I can't get it out.
(Corinne Asturias)
At
the Movies--2053!: Metro film critic Richard von Busack travels
50 years into the future to review the kind of cinema we were supposed
to be watching by now.
The
Original Frontier: Humankind's confusing relationship with the time
machine. (Michael S. Gant)
When
Cars Fly: No, really. Your Skycar is just around the corner, if one
visionary Davis company has its say. (Allie Gottlieb)
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